A galaxy can contain stars born elsewhere. ERGO-ML estimates their share of its stellar mass, returning distributions of possible histories. The January author manuscript applies this approach to more than 750,000 Subaru Hyper Suprime-Cam galaxies.[1]
First make the artificial galaxies look observable
The project’s earlier image-comparison study addressed a necessary bridge. A simulation records how a galaxy assembled, while a telescope records light. The team rendered simulated galaxies as survey images, including observational effects, then trained a network jointly on those images and real observations.[2]
Its contrastive training brings altered views of a galaxy together in a mathematical representation and separates dissimilar objects. Rotations, reflections and modest changes to image framing help it learn structure that survives those changes. Similar-looking simulated and observed galaxies can then occupy nearby positions.[2]
That earlier study also identified simulated galaxies whose images had poor observational counterparts. Such a check matters before transferring a hidden history: visual similarity provides a bridge between the datasets, while a mismatch identifies where the bridge is weak.[2]
A second, invertible network learns simulated histories conditional on the image representation, producing probability distributions. More massive, extended galaxies were inferred to contain larger fractions of externally formed stars.[1]
The history model also takes redshift, luminosity and radius, restoring context lost when images are normalised. In simulations, peak mass-fraction estimates were within ten percentage points for 80% of test galaxies. Last-merger dates were much less reliable. Real galaxies have no equivalent known histories for validation.[1]
Sources & further reading
- ERGO-ML: The assembly histories of HSC galaxy images via invertible neural networks, contrastive learning, and cosmological simulations arXiv; author manuscript · 27 Jan 2026 · Accessed 20 Oct 2026
- ERGO-ML: Comparing IllustrisTNG and HSC galaxy images via contrastive learning arXiv; revised author manuscript · 11 Apr 2024 · Accessed 20 Oct 2026